K rock Football

GDFL – The Run Home

With four rounds remaining in the GDFL season, eight teams remain in contention for a finals berth.

Thomson, Inverleigh and Bannockburn are locked away, while one more win will be enough for Werribee Centrals to end a six-years finals drought.

That leaves just one spot up for grabs, with Winchelsea in the box seat by virtue of their six-point buffer on East Geelong and North Geelong and two-game gap on Geelong West.

 

1st – Thomson (13-1, 233.15%)

Belmont Lions (a)

Anakie (h)

Bell Post Hill (h)

Winchelsea (a)

With a percentage that is 90 points greater than Inverleigh and Bannockburn, Thomson is good as three games clear on top with four rounds to play. That means a win over Belmont Lions will ensure the minor premiership and the week off come the start of the finals. Lost to Werribee Centrals in Round 13, but the flag is the Tigers’ to lose.

 

2nd – Inverleigh (11-3, 155.06%)

Bannockburn (a)

North Geelong (a)

Werribee Centrals (h)

Belmont Lions (a)

Beat Bannockburn this week and that should be enough for Inverleigh to earn the double-chance for a sixth consecutive season. However, a loss might mean starting out of the elimination final if it loses to Werribee Centrals in Round 17.

 

3rd – Bannockburn (11-3, 154.85%)

Inverleigh (h)

Corio (a)

Geelong West Giants (a)

Anakie (h)

If Bannockburn can knock over its Golden Plains rival Inverleigh this week, lock away the double-chance for Peter Riccardi’s men. Lose to the Hawks, then the Tigers would need to win out. They will account for Corio and Anakie. However, Geelong West at West Oval is a different proposition.

 

4th – Werribee Centrals (10-4, 160.91%)

Bell Post Hill (a)

East Geelong (h)

Inverleigh (a)

Corio (h)

Werribee Centrals only needs to beat Corio in the last round to ensure a return to finals for the first time since 2013. However, coach Nick Smith will be keen for the Centurions to grand the double-chance. If it can beat Bell Post Hill at Myers Reserve for the first time since 2004 and East Geelong at home, the Round 17 trip to Inverleigh may prove the difference between starting their campaign from a qualifying or elimination final.

 

5th – Winchelsea (8-5-1, 145.66%)

Corio (a)

Geelong West Giants (h)

Anakie (a)

Thomson (h)

Despite an inconsistent run over the last six weeks, Winchelsea may only need two more wins to play finals for the first time since 2014. The Blues will beat Corio this week, before taking on Geelong West and Anakie. Win one of those and they should be safe. Coach Brendan Forssman won’t want to be relying on beating minor premier Thomson in the final round to book an elimination final berth.

 

6th – East Geelong (7-7, 118.61%)

North Geelong (h)

Werribee Centrals (a)

Belmont Lions (h)

Bell Post Hill (a)

The most improved team in the competition, East Geelong needs to win all four games and have Winchelsea win only two matches to snatch an unlikely finals spot. The Eagles will start favourite in three of those matches, starting with North Geelong at Richmond Crescent on Saturday. Best case scenario is being half-a-game behind the Blues heading into Round 18.

 

7th – North Geelong (7-7, 98.19%)

East Geelong (a)

Inverleigh (h)

Corio (a)

Geelong West Giants (h)

The next fortnight will define whether North Geelong’s finals absence is one of two years. Need to beat East Geelong this week before throwing everything at Inverleigh in Round 16. With percentage not a factor, the Magpies will be hoping for three wins and also having Geelong West and Anakie beat Winchelsea. That would make the final round clash with the Giants at Keith Barclay Oval a live match.

 

8th – Geelong West Giants (6-7-1, 135.25%)

Anakie (h)

Winchelsea (a)

Bannockburn (h)

North Geelong (a)

Geelong West needs to take care of Anakie this week before facing Winchelsea, Bannockburn and North Geelong in the final three weeks. Even if it was to win all four games, the Giants would also need Anakie and Thomson to roll the Blues in the last two rounds. Unfortunately, 10 wins and a draw might not be enough for West.

 

BFL – THE RUN HOME